The dangers of off-the-hoof calculations

Rarity says to Desert Brush in Chapter 3 of The Life That Late He Led:

“My dear fellow, you’re in a world where the mares outnumber the stallions four to one, and you have a mare all to yourself. You should be doing a great deal better than everypony else.”

This conflicts with Twilight Sparkle’s declaration in The Sparkle Chronicles, Chapter 4:

“Approximately forty colts for every hundred fillies, at foaling. And of course mares live longer.”

At that time, it should be noted, Equestria did not yet have a full-fledged census, or so the story goes.

Since then — and not, you may be sure, in response to anything I wrote — some poor OCD-ridden soul has actually counted all the canon ponies in Seasons One through Three, and come up with a ratio of 1.85:1, a bit closer to “balanced” than either Twilight’s 2.5 or Rarity’s 4.0. Still, not all the ponies we know, or think we know, are canon.

2 Responses to The dangers of off-the-hoof calculations

  1. fillyjonk says:

    I know early on some folks were positing an Epic Pony War somewhere else, which was why there were so “few” stallions in Ponyville. (I was wondering if it was something more along the lines of people reacting to a show where the female characters were not merely arm candy for the males, and going “But there aren’t any strong STALLIONS in the show!”)

    1.85 to 1 isn’t that bad of odds. Up around 4:1 or even 2.5:1, the minority gender is finding themselves in “the odds are good but the goods are odd” territory – like a woman I know who had contemplated moving to Alaska because there “are more available men there” (Some of those men were “available” because of Reasons…)

  2. DS says:

    One might wonder, also, if there’s a tendency for unattached mares to underestimate the size of the pool of available stallions, simply because they haven’t met any worth bothering with of late.

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